Title: Predictors of success in Kappaphycus seaweed farming in Rambutso Island, Manus, Papua New Guinea.

This research examines the predictors of success in seaweed farming on Rambutso Island, Manus, Papua New Guinea. Utilising an interview-based approach, this study uses qualitative insights from interviews with farmers to identify the key factors influencing farming outcomes. Preliminary findings suggest that access to quality seedstock, provision of adequate farming materials, training, and education significantly contribute to productivity. Market access has emerged as a critical determinant of financial success, underscoring the importance of establishing reliable market linkages. The research also explores the role of local cooperative structures in the effective distribution of resources and how community dynamics, such as local politics, affect farming practices. This study aims to develop a comprehensive understanding of the challenges and opportunities in seaweed farming within the unique socioeconomic and environmental contexts of Rambutso Island, offering valuable guidance for policymakers, development agencies, and local stakeholders striving to optimise seaweed farming as a sustainable livelihood strategy.